All events
Tech & AI · 11 markets

What will Elon post this week? (August 17 - August 23)

Vol total$2K
Vol 24h$2K
Liquidity$801
Resolves4d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
Tweak
$458 vol
9.5%
chance
Yes 10¢ · No 91¢
Tesla
$315 vol
60.5%
chance
Yes 61¢ · No 40¢
🇲🇽
Mexico
$301 vol
24.0%
chance
Yes 24¢ · No 76¢
🎯
Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency
$223 vol
50.6%
chance
Yes 51¢ · No 49¢
🤖
ChatGPT
$220 vol
53.5%
chance
Yes 54¢ · No 47¢
🇮🇷
Iran / Iranian
$130 vol
30.5%
chance
Yes 31¢ · No 70¢
🎯
Sam / Altman
$126 vol
33.5%
chance
Yes 34¢ · No 67¢
🎯
Deport / Deported
$110 vol
23.5%
chance
Yes 24¢ · No 77¢
🇺🇸
Trump
$49 vol
32.5%
chance
Yes 33¢ · No 68¢
🎯
Border
$30 vol
46.0%
chance
Yes 46¢ · No 54¢
🤠
Texas
$20 vol
27.5%
chance
Yes 28¢ · No 73¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if @elonmusk posts the listed term between August 17, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts and reposts will not count. Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.) Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count. Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution. Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). The resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk's verified X account: @elonmusk Please note, only the @elonmusk verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Elon Musk posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.