Culture · 6 markets

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Vol total$443

Vol 24h$460

Liquidity$756

Resolves6d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯

Don’t Say Good Luck

$206 vol

75.5%

chance

Yes 76¢ · No 25¢

🎯

Extinction

$62 vol

19.5%

chance

Yes 20¢ · No 81¢

🎯

Freefall: A Reckoning for Boeing

$62 vol

20.0%

chance

Yes 20¢ · No 80¢

🎯

To Catch a Cheater

$50 vol

19.5%

chance

Yes 20¢ · No 81¢

🎯

The Last House

$31 vol

12.4%

chance

Yes 12¢ · No 88¢

🎯

Arthur the King

$30 vol

4.5%

chance

Yes 5¢ · No 96¢

Resolution rules

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".