Culture · 6 markets

What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

Vol total$705

Vol 24h$705

Liquidity$2K

Resolves6d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯

Extinction

$572 vol

7.0%

chance

Yes 7¢ · No 93¢

🎯

To Catch a Cheater

$80 vol

16.0%

chance

Yes 16¢ · No 84¢

🎯

Freefall: A Reckoning for Boeing

$24 vol

22.5%

chance

Yes 23¢ · No 78¢

🎯

The Last House

$20 vol

3.5%

chance

Yes 4¢ · No 97¢

🎯

Don't Say Good Luck

$0 vol

8.0%

chance

Yes 8¢ · No 92¢

🎯

Arthur the King

$9 vol

1.9%

chance

Yes 2¢ · No 98¢

Resolution rules

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".