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Politics · binary

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

Vol total$74K
Vol 24h$380
Liquidity$12K
Resolves134d

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Prediction

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

Your pick: Yes — each share pays $1 if Yes wins.

Bets from $1 · deposits start at $3.

SideYes
Price$0.0405
Shares (est)123.46
Spend$5.00
Capital back$5.00
Profit if Yes wins+$118.46
If Yes wins pays$123.46
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Price history-0.30% · 1W
0%2%3%5%6%Aug 12Aug 14Aug 15Aug 17Aug 18Aug 19

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally recognizes Russian sovereignty over the majority of the Crimean peninsula by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action. Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.