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Politics · binary

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?

Vol total$118K
Vol 24h$221
Liquidity$14K
Resolves128d

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Prediction

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?

Your pick: Yes — each share pays $1 if Yes wins.

Bets from $1 · deposits start at $3.

SideYes
Price$0.0540
Shares (est)92.59
Spend$5.00
Capital back$5.00
Profit if Yes wins+$87.59
If Yes wins pays$92.59
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Price history+1.00% · 1W
2%4%5%6%7%Aug 20Aug 21Aug 22Aug 24Aug 25Aug 27

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe. Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count. The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.