All events
Politics · 6 markets

Trump approval rating on August 28?

Vol total$684
Vol 24h$684
Liquidity$746
Resolves7d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
38.5–38.9
$429 vol
23.5%
chance
Yes 24¢ · No 77¢
🎯
38.0–38.4
$113 vol
29.0%
chance
Yes 29¢ · No 71¢
🎯
39.0+
$94 vol
5.5%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 95¢
🎯
<37.0
$16 vol
14.5%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 86¢
🎯
37.0–37.4
$16 vol
23.5%
chance
Yes 24¢ · No 77¢
🎯
37.5–37.9
$16 vol
20.5%
chance
Yes 21¢ · No 80¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 28, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.