Politics · 6 markets

Trump approval rating on August 21?

Vol total$3K

Vol 24h$914

Liquidity$5K

Resolves3d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯

38.0–38.4

$1K vol

50.5%

chance

Yes 51¢ · No 50¢

🎯

37.5–37.9

$673 vol

42.5%

chance

Yes 43¢ · No 57¢

🎯

<37.0

$320 vol

2.9%

chance

Yes 3¢ · No 97¢

🎯

38.5–38.9

$245 vol

4.2%

chance

Yes 4¢ · No 96¢

🎯

37.0–37.4

$165 vol

5.5%

chance

Yes 6¢ · No 95¢

🎯

39.0+

$256 vol

0.6%

chance

Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 21, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.