All events
Tech & AI · 18 markets

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of August?

Vol total$10K
Vol 24h$7K
Liquidity$8K
Resolves13d

Outcomes · most likely first

🌙
Moonshot
$2K vol
29.0%
chance
Yes 29¢ · No 71¢
🧠
OpenAI
$916 vol
60.6%
chance
Yes 61¢ · No 39¢
🤖
Z.ai
$796 vol
9.5%
chance
Yes 10¢ · No 91¢
🌪️
Mistral
$753 vol
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇨🇳
MiniMax
$551 vol
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🤖
Anthropic
$487 vol
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇨🇳
Xiaomi
$454 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
📱
ByteDance
$385 vol
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🚀
SpaceXAI
$372 vol
0.2%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🍜
Meituan
$369 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
👥
Meta
$367 vol
0.2%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🔎
Baidu
$336 vol
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🔷
DeepSeek
$317 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🟢
Nvidia
$316 vol
0.2%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🔍
Google
$314 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
📦
Amazon
$314 vol
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🪟
Microsoft
$294 vol
0.4%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🛍️
Alibaba
$261 vol
0.2%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".