All events
Politics · 7 markets

Sweden Parliamentary Elections: Social Democratic Party # of seats?

Vol total$1K
Vol 24h$329
Liquidity$35K
Resolves25d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
110-114
$124 vol·+4%·7d
20.5%
chance
Yes 21¢ · No 80¢
🎯
125-129
$115 vol·-14%·7d
7.5%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 93¢
🎯
<105
$113 vol·-1%·7d
18.5%
chance
Yes 19¢ · No 82¢
🎯
105-109
$100 vol·-9%·7d
14.5%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 86¢
🎯
115-119
$80 vol·+3%·7d
25.5%
chance
Yes 26¢ · No 75¢
🎯
120-124
$40 vol·-10%·7d
12.5%
chance
Yes 13¢ · No 88¢
🎯
130+
$564 vol·-28%·7d
0.8%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) as a result of this election. Seats will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the Swedish Social Democratic Party, officially registered as Arbetarepartiet-Socialdemokraterna (S). Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If S formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).