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Culture · 5 markets

"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?

Vol total$700
Vol 24h$700
Liquidity$2K
Resolves35d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
940 - 950m
$233 vol
45.0%
chance
Yes 45¢ · No 55¢
🎯
<940m
$165 vol
23.0%
chance
Yes 23¢ · No 77¢
🎯
970m+
$109 vol
12.0%
chance
Yes 12¢ · No 88¢
🎯
960 - 970m
$103 vol
8.0%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 92¢
🎯
950 - 960m
$91 vol
36.0%
chance
Yes 36¢ · No 64¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by September 30, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and September 30, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.