All events
Tech & AI · 3 markets

SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?

Vol total$8K
Vol 24h$866
Liquidity$9K
Resolves314d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
December 31, 2026
$6K vol·-11%·7d
23.5%
chance
Yes 24¢ · No 77¢
🎯
August 31, 2026
$1K vol
2.3%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🎯
June 30, 2027
$219 vol
76.0%
chance
Yes 76¢ · No 24¢

Resolution rules

If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome. The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.