All events
Tech & AI · 18 markets

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of August?

Vol total$12K
Vol 24h$8K
Liquidity$14K
Resolves13d

Outcomes · most likely first

🧠
OpenAI
$2K vol
11.5%
chance
Yes 12¢ · No 89¢
🌙
Moonshot
$1K vol
69.5%
chance
Yes 70¢ · No 31¢
🤖
Z.ai
$907 vol
4.1%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🚀
SpaceXAI
$231 vol
2.2%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🤖
Anthropic
$1K vol
0.7%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
📱
ByteDance
$954 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🪟
Microsoft
$575 vol
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🔎
Baidu
$534 vol
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇨🇳
MiniMax
$489 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🛍️
Alibaba
$475 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🔷
DeepSeek
$454 vol
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🟢
Nvidia
$445 vol
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
👥
Meta
$378 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🔍
Google
$363 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇨🇳
Xiaomi
$361 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🍜
Meituan
$336 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
📦
Amazon
$323 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌪️
Mistral
$267 vol
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".