Politics · 5 markets

Scarborough Southwest Provincial By-Election Winner

Vol total$1K

Vol 24h$1K

Liquidity$18K

Resolves15d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯

Fatima Shaban

$816 vol

37.0%

chance

Yes 37¢ · No 63¢

🎯

Ahsanul Hafiz

$315 vol

19.0%

chance

Yes 19¢ · No 81¢

🎯

Mark Bekkering

$80 vol

13.5%

chance

Yes 14¢ · No 87¢

🎯

Chris Rees

$80 vol

5.0%

chance

Yes 5¢ · No 95¢

🎯

Noor Tarun

$93 vol

1.0%

chance

Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Scarborough Southwest is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).