All events
Politics · 4 markets

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: CDU Vote Share?

Vol total$1K
Vol 24h$1K
Liquidity$2K
Resolves15d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
23-26%
$517 vol
22.5%
chance
Yes 23¢ · No 78¢
🎯
20-23%
$349 vol
23.5%
chance
Yes 24¢ · No 77¢
🎯
26%+
$294 vol
28.0%
chance
Yes 28¢ · No 72¢
🎯
<20%
$228 vol
21.5%
chance
Yes 22¢ · No 79¢

Resolution rules

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election. Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).