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Climate · 7 markets

Precipitation in Seattle in September?

Vol total$1K
Vol 24h$1K
Liquidity$5K
Resolves31d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
>4"
$203 vol
7.0%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 93¢
🎯
3-4"
$203 vol
11.0%
chance
Yes 11¢ · No 89¢
🎯
2.5-3"
$182 vol
16.0%
chance
Yes 16¢ · No 84¢
🎯
<1"
$156 vol
25.5%
chance
Yes 26¢ · No 75¢
🎯
2-2.5"
$130 vol
13.5%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 87¢
🎯
1-1.5"
$118 vol
19.5%
chance
Yes 20¢ · No 81¢
🎯
1.5-2"
$112 vol
17.0%
chance
Yes 17¢ · No 83¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026. If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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