All events
Climate · 6 markets

Precipitation in NYC in August?

Vol total$2K
Vol 24h$428
Liquidity$1K
Resolves12d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
2-3"
$305 vol·+6%·7d
6.7%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 93¢
🎯
>6"
$188 vol·+14%·7d
53.5%
chance
Yes 54¢ · No 47¢
🎯
3-4"
$76 vol·-13%·7d
15.0%
chance
Yes 15¢ · No 85¢
🎯
5-6"
$57 vol·-5%·7d
35.0%
chance
Yes 35¢ · No 65¢
🎯
4-5"
$49 vol·-5%·7d
35.0%
chance
Yes 35¢ · No 65¢
🎯
<2"
$902 vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between August 1 and August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for August 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of August 2026. If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.