All events
Climate · 7 markets

Precipitation in London in August?

Vol total$8K
Vol 24h$223
Liquidity$1K
Resolves5d

Outcomes · most likely first

⛈️
60-70mm
$6K vol·-8%·7d
17.1%
chance
Yes 17¢ · No 83¢
🌦️
<30mm
$854 vol·+25%·7d
78.0%
chance
Yes 78¢ · No 22¢
🌊
80mm+
$304 vol·-10%·7d
9.0%
chance
Yes 9¢ · No 91¢
🌧️
30-40mm
$187 vol·-3%·7d
32.3%
chance
Yes 32¢ · No 68¢
⛈️
50-60mm
$184 vol·-22%·7d
15.3%
chance
Yes 15¢ · No 85¢
⛈️
70-80mm
$136 vol·-5%·7d
11.8%
chance
Yes 12¢ · No 88¢
🌧️
40-50mm
$118 vol·-22%·7d
15.8%
chance
Yes 16¢ · No 84¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in August, 2026, according to the Met Office. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for August 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of August 2026 is released. If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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