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Climate · 10 markets

Precipitation in Hong Kong in September?

Vol total$2K
Vol 24h$2K
Liquidity$3K
Resolves31d

Outcomes · most likely first

💧
<275mm
$785 vol
31.0%
chance
Yes 31¢ · No 69¢
🌧️
400-450mm
$150 vol
7.0%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 93¢
⛈️
550mm+
$150 vol
6.5%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 94¢
💧
275-300mm
$128 vol
15.5%
chance
Yes 16¢ · No 85¢
🌧️
300-325mm
$128 vol
12.0%
chance
Yes 12¢ · No 88¢
🌧️
325-350mm
$128 vol
8.5%
chance
Yes 9¢ · No 92¢
⛈️
500-550mm
$128 vol
7.5%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 93¢
🌧️
350-375mm
$125 vol
8.0%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 92¢
⛈️
450-500mm
$125 vol
11.0%
chance
Yes 11¢ · No 89¢
🌧️
375-400mm
$125 vol
6.5%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 94¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between September 1 and September 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in September 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range. If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Vectorial Data aggregates publicly available market data. We are not affiliated with any exchange or venue and do not custody funds. All probabilities, prices, funding rates, and resolutions shown are sourced from public on-chain APIs and may be delayed or revised. Markets and tokens shown are speculative — past performance does not predict future results, calibration metrics describe historical accuracy and do not guarantee future calibration. Nothing on this site is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.