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Climate · 10 markets

Precipitation in Hong Kong in August?

Vol total$8K
Vol 24h$700
Liquidity$2K
Resolves9d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
<425mm
$3K vol·+21%·7d
57.0%
chance
Yes 57¢ · No 43¢
🎯
700mm+
$2K vol·-22%·7d
2.5%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🎯
450-475mm
$580 vol·-3%·7d
22.9%
chance
Yes 23¢ · No 77¢
🎯
650-700mm
$346 vol·-14%·7d
10.0%
chance
Yes 10¢ · No 90¢
🎯
600-650mm
$340 vol·-0%·7d
17.9%
chance
Yes 18¢ · No 82¢
🎯
475-500mm
$285 vol·+9%·7d
27.6%
chance
Yes 28¢ · No 72¢
🎯
425-450mm
$251 vol·+1%·7d
12.0%
chance
Yes 12¢ · No 88¢
🎯
525-550mm
$199 vol·+2%·7d
26.9%
chance
Yes 27¢ · No 73¢
🎯
550-600mm
$164 vol·+9%·7d
24.8%
chance
Yes 25¢ · No 75¢
🎯
500-525mm
$149 vol·+4%·7d
26.0%
chance
Yes 26¢ · No 74¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between August 1 and August 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in August 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range. If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.