All events
Politics · 5 markets

Plateau, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

Vol total$677
Vol 24h$677
Liquidity$1K
Resolves169d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
Mutfwang Caleb Manasseh
$419 vol
72.0%
chance
Yes 72¢ · No 28¢
🎯
John Sunday Sura
$68 vol
9.5%
chance
Yes 10¢ · No 91¢
🎯
Kefas Ropshik
$64 vol
11.5%
chance
Yes 12¢ · No 89¢
🎯
Sunday Garba Biggs
$64 vol
11.0%
chance
Yes 11¢ · No 89¢
🎯
Margaret Inusa Yahaya
$62 vol
6.0%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢

Resolution rules

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Plateau State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Plateau State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.