Culture · 17 markets

Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner

Vol total$13K

Vol 24h$774

Liquidity$23K

Resolves208d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯

Wild Horse Nine

$11K vol·+4%·7d

40.0%

chance

Yes 40¢ · No 60¢

🎯

Fjord

$861 vol·+8%·7d

16.5%

chance

Yes 17¢ · No 84¢

🎯

Digger

$341 vol·+1%·7d

11.5%

chance

Yes 12¢ · No 89¢

🎯

Obsession

$124 vol·-4%·7d

10.5%

chance

Yes 11¢ · No 90¢

🎯

The Debut

$113 vol·-0%·7d

7.8%

chance

Yes 8¢ · No 92¢

🎯

The Adventures of Cliff Booth

$106 vol·+0%·7d

8.9%

chance

Yes 9¢ · No 91¢

🎯

The Black Ball

$97 vol·-4%·7d

4.4%

chance

Yes 4¢ · No 96¢

🎯

Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma

$59 vol

4.5%

chance

Yes 5¢ · No 96¢

🎯

Josephine

$59 vol·-1%·7d

3.5%

chance

Yes 4¢ · No 97¢

🎯

A Place in Hell

$59 vol

3.6%

chance

Yes 4¢ · No 96¢

🎬

The Odyssey

$59 vol

3.5%

chance

Yes 4¢ · No 97¢

🎯

Club Kid

$43 vol·-0%·7d

3.1%

chance

Yes 3¢ · No 97¢

🎯

Fatherland

$39 vol

2.4%

chance

Yes 2¢ · No 98¢

🎯

The Drama

$39 vol·-1%·7d

4.0%

chance

Yes 4¢ · No 96¢

🎯

The Invite

$39 vol

4.5%

chance

Yes 5¢ · No 96¢

🎯

Elsinore

$39 vol

2.4%

chance

Yes 2¢ · No 98¢

🎯

Forgotten Island

$39 vol·-0%·7d

1.1%

chance

Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.