All events
Tech & AI · 30 markets

OpenAI's Astra released on...?

Vol total$14K
Vol 24h$14K
Liquidity$38K
Resolves30d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
No release by September 30
$867 vol
33.5%
chance
Yes 34¢ · No 67¢
🎯
On or prior to September 2
$440 vol
4.0%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🎯
September 10
$440 vol
2.9%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🎯
September 13
$440 vol
4.5%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 96¢
🎯
September 21
$440 vol
2.9%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🎯
September 23
$440 vol
3.4%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🎯
September 25
$440 vol
3.5%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 97¢
🎯
September 26
$440 vol
3.4%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🎯
September 28
$440 vol
3.5%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 97¢
🍂
September 30
$440 vol
2.9%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🎯
September 3
$440 vol
2.9%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🎯
September 4
$440 vol
2.9%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🎯
September 5
$440 vol
3.4%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🎯
September 6
$440 vol
2.9%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🎯
September 7
$440 vol
3.5%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 97¢
🎯
September 8
$440 vol
3.5%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 97¢
🎯
September 9
$440 vol
2.9%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🎯
September 11
$430 vol
2.5%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🎯
September 12
$430 vol
2.5%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 98¢
🎯
September 14
$430 vol
2.5%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🎯
September 15
$430 vol
3.6%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🎯
September 16
$430 vol
3.5%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 97¢
🎯
September 17
$430 vol
3.5%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🎯
September 18
$430 vol
2.5%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 98¢
🎯
September 19
$430 vol
2.8%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🎯
September 20
$430 vol
2.5%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 98¢
🎯
September 22
$430 vol
2.5%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 98¢
🎯
September 24
$430 vol
2.5%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🎯
September 29
$430 vol
3.9%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🎯
September 27
$440 vol
1.1%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed "Astra," describing an internal version of Astra as its "next major model." You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/. This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting. Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement. For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Vectorial Data aggregates publicly available market data. We are not affiliated with any exchange or venue and do not custody funds. All probabilities, prices, funding rates, and resolutions shown are sourced from public on-chain APIs and may be delayed or revised. Markets and tokens shown are speculative — past performance does not predict future results, calibration metrics describe historical accuracy and do not guarantee future calibration. Nothing on this site is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.