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Politics · 5 markets

Ontario Liberal Party Leadership Election Winner

Vol total$1K
Vol 24h$1K
Liquidity$26K
Resolves83d

Outcomes · most likely first

🇨🇦
Navdeep Bains
$617 vol
55.5%
chance
Yes 56¢ · No 45¢
🇨🇦
Lee Fairclough
$308 vol
20.5%
chance
Yes 21¢ · No 80¢
🇨🇦
Eric Lombardi
$129 vol
6.5%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 94¢
🇨🇦
Stephanie Bowman
$120 vol
13.5%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 87¢
🇨🇦
Dylan Marando
$52 vol
3.1%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢

Resolution rules

The 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election is currently scheduled to conclude on November 21, 2026, with voting held from November 9 to November 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Ontario Liberal Party as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ontario Liberal Party.

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