All events
Politics · 12 markets

Oklahoma Republican Governor Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

Vol total$1K
Vol 24h$1K
Liquidity$43K
Resolves0d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
Drummond 20–25%
$129 vol
24.7%
chance
Yes 25¢ · No 75¢
🎯
Drummond 15–20%
$129 vol
23.5%
chance
Yes 24¢ · No 77¢
🎯
Mazzei 15–20%
$105 vol
25.7%
chance
Yes 26¢ · No 74¢
🎯
Mazzei 20–25%
$104 vol
25.7%
chance
Yes 26¢ · No 74¢
🎯
Drummond 10–15%
$90 vol
22.5%
chance
Yes 23¢ · No 78¢
🎯
Drummond 5–10%
$79 vol
44.4%
chance
Yes 44¢ · No 56¢
🎯
Drummond <5%
$65 vol
23.4%
chance
Yes 23¢ · No 77¢
🎯
Mazzei <5%
$266 vol
100.0%
chance
Yes 100¢ · No 0¢
🎯
Mazzei 25%+
$119 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
Mazzei 5–10%
$80 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
Drummond 25%+
$78 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
Mazzei 10–15%
$43 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

Primary runoff elections in Oklahoma are scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the two candidates in the Oklahoma Republican Gubernatorial Primary Runoff. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Oklahoma, such as official statewide results published by the Oklahoma State Election Board; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.