All events
Politics · 8 markets

Quebec General Election: PQ # Seats?

Vol total$250
Vol 24h$250
Liquidity$5K
Resolves39d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
<50
$103 vol
12.0%
chance
Yes 12¢ · No 88¢
🎯
75-79
$85 vol
15.0%
chance
Yes 15¢ · No 85¢
🎯
80+
$22 vol
7.0%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 93¢
👨
50-54
$20 vol
14.5%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 86¢
🎯
65-69
$20 vol
16.5%
chance
Yes 17¢ · No 84¢
👨
55-59
$0 vol
19.0%
chance
Yes 19¢ · No 81¢
🎯
60-64
$0 vol
20.0%
chance
Yes 20¢ · No 80¢
🎯
70-74
$0 vol
12.5%
chance
Yes 13¢ · No 88¢

Resolution rules

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti Québécois (PQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered. If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).

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