Politics · 7 markets

NZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?

Vol total$20K

Vol 24h$2K

Liquidity$57K

Resolves75d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯

35-39

$7K vol·+2%·7d

34.5%

chance

Yes 35¢ · No 66¢

🎯

45-49

$5K vol·-3%·7d

2.1%

chance

Yes 2¢ · No 98¢

🎯

30-34

$3K vol·-12%·7d

17.2%

chance

Yes 17¢ · No 83¢

🎯

40-44

$2K vol·+1%·7d

18.0%

chance

Yes 18¢ · No 82¢

🎯

55+

$979 vol·+6%·7d

17.6%

chance

Yes 18¢ · No 82¢

🎯

<30

$875 vol·+9%·7d

10.7%

chance

Yes 11¢ · No 89¢

🎯

50-54

$972 vol·-0%·7d

1.8%

chance

Yes 2¢ · No 98¢

Resolution rules

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Labour Party in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Labour Party in this election. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).