All events
Other · 5 markets

Number of North Korea Missile Tests in September 2026?

Vol total$530
Vol 24h$550
Liquidity$27K
Resolves41d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
4+
$260 vol
17.5%
chance
Yes 18¢ · No 83¢
🎯
<1
$120 vol
16.0%
chance
Yes 16¢ · No 84¢
🎯
1
$50 vol
29.5%
chance
Yes 30¢ · No 71¢
🎯
2
$50 vol
24.0%
chance
Yes 24¢ · No 76¢
🎯
3
$50 vol
16.5%
chance
Yes 17¢ · No 84¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during September 2026, Pyongyang Time. If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began. Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify. Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify. Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.