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Other · 4 markets

Number of North Korea Missile Tests in August 2026?

Vol total$17K
Vol 24h$17K
Liquidity$299
Resolves10d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
6+
$17K vol
39.5%
chance
Yes 40¢ · No 61¢
🎯
4
$420 vol
40.7%
chance
Yes 41¢ · No 59¢
🎯
<4
$120 vol
46.0%
chance
Yes 46¢ · No 54¢
🎯
5
$0 vol
41.5%
chance
Yes 42¢ · No 59¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time. If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began. Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify. Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify. Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.