All events
Politics · 2 markets

Next UK by-election called by…?

Vol total$10K
Vol 24h$6K
Liquidity$27K
Resolves122d

Outcomes · most likely first

🍂
September 30
$6K vol·+44%·7d
62.5%
chance
Yes 63¢ · No 38¢
🎆
December 31
$4K vol·+25%·7d
88.9%
chance
Yes 89¢ · No 11¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in a UK parliamentary constituency is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Vectorial Data aggregates publicly available market data. We are not affiliated with any exchange or venue and do not custody funds. All probabilities, prices, funding rates, and resolutions shown are sourced from public on-chain APIs and may be delayed or revised. Markets and tokens shown are speculative — past performance does not predict future results, calibration metrics describe historical accuracy and do not guarantee future calibration. Nothing on this site is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.