Politics · 15 markets

Next Premier of Victoria

Vol total$2K

Vol 24h$2K

Liquidity$63K

Resolves94d

Outcomes · most likely first

🇦🇺

Jess Wilson

$738 vol

60.0%

chance

Yes 60¢ · No 40¢

🇦🇺

Ben Carroll

$168 vol

11.5%

chance

Yes 12¢ · No 89¢

🇦🇺

Danny O'Brien

$100 vol

3.9%

chance

Yes 4¢ · No 96¢

🇦🇺

Ellen Sandell

$100 vol

2.7%

chance

Yes 3¢ · No 97¢

🇦🇺

Jacinta Allan

$100 vol

3.7%

chance

Yes 4¢ · No 96¢

🇦🇺

Jaclyn Symes

$100 vol

4.0%

chance

Yes 4¢ · No 96¢

🇦🇺

Sonya Kilkenny

$100 vol

4.0%

chance

Yes 4¢ · No 96¢

🇦🇺

Steve Dimopoulos

$100 vol

3.7%

chance

Yes 4¢ · No 96¢

🇦🇺

Brad Battin

$100 vol

4.5%

chance

Yes 5¢ · No 96¢

🇦🇺

Sam Groth

$100 vol

4.5%

chance

Yes 5¢ · No 96¢

🇦🇺

James Newbury

$100 vol

4.5%

chance

Yes 5¢ · No 96¢

🇦🇺

Emma Kealy

$100 vol

4.0%

chance

Yes 4¢ · No 96¢

🇦🇺

Gabrielle Williams

$50 vol

3.0%

chance

Yes 3¢ · No 97¢

🇦🇺

David Southwick

$50 vol

3.0%

chance

Yes 3¢ · No 97¢

🇦🇺

Warren Pickering

$50 vol

5.0%

chance

Yes 5¢ · No 95¢

Resolution rules

The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Victoria as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Victoria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.