All events
Tech & AI · 38 markets

Next Mythos-Class Model released on…?

Vol total$6K
Vol 24h$6K
Liquidity$22K
Resolves37d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
No release by September 30
$417 vol
25.0%
chance
Yes 25¢ · No 75¢
🎯
September 5
$236 vol
18.0%
chance
Yes 18¢ · No 82¢
🎯
September 6
$236 vol
17.5%
chance
Yes 18¢ · No 83¢
🎯
September 2
$136 vol
20.0%
chance
Yes 20¢ · No 80¢
🎯
September 3
$136 vol
6.0%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🎯
September 4
$136 vol
17.5%
chance
Yes 18¢ · No 83¢
🎯
September 7
$136 vol
15.5%
chance
Yes 16¢ · No 85¢
🎯
September 8
$136 vol
25.0%
chance
Yes 25¢ · No 75¢
🎯
September 9
$136 vol
18.5%
chance
Yes 19¢ · No 82¢
🎯
September 10
$136 vol
18.5%
chance
Yes 19¢ · No 82¢
🎯
September 12
$136 vol
22.5%
chance
Yes 23¢ · No 78¢
🎯
September 13
$136 vol
4.0%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🎯
September 14
$136 vol
18.5%
chance
Yes 19¢ · No 82¢
🎯
September 15
$136 vol
19.0%
chance
Yes 19¢ · No 81¢
🎯
September 16
$136 vol
4.0%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🎯
September 17
$136 vol
4.0%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🎯
September 18
$136 vol
19.5%
chance
Yes 20¢ · No 81¢
🎯
September 19
$136 vol
5.0%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🎯
September 20
$136 vol
4.0%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🎯
September 22
$136 vol
18.5%
chance
Yes 19¢ · No 82¢
🎯
September 23
$136 vol
4.0%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🎯
September 24
$136 vol
15.0%
chance
Yes 15¢ · No 85¢
🎯
September 25
$136 vol
11.5%
chance
Yes 12¢ · No 89¢
🎯
September 26
$136 vol
14.0%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 86¢
🎯
September 27
$136 vol
5.5%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 95¢
🎯
September 28
$136 vol
9.0%
chance
Yes 9¢ · No 91¢
🎯
September 29
$136 vol
20.0%
chance
Yes 20¢ · No 80¢
🍂
September 30
$136 vol
4.0%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🎯
September 21
$136 vol
6.0%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🎯
August 26
$46 vol
23.5%
chance
Yes 24¢ · No 77¢
🎯
August 27
$46 vol
21.0%
chance
Yes 21¢ · No 79¢
🎯
September 1
$46 vol
24.5%
chance
Yes 25¢ · No 76¢
🎯
September 11
$46 vol
16.5%
chance
Yes 17¢ · No 84¢
🎯
August 28
$46 vol
23.5%
chance
Yes 24¢ · No 77¢
🎯
August 31
$27 vol
13.0%
chance
Yes 13¢ · No 87¢
🎯
On or prior to August 25
$5 vol
10.5%
chance
Yes 11¢ · No 90¢
🎯
August 29
$496 vol
1.1%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🎯
August 30
$496 vol
1.0%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Mythos-class model is made available to the general public. Any model whose official name includes "Mythos," or that Anthropic officially describes as a "Mythos-class" model or similar, will qualify for this market's resolution. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.