All events
Tech & AI · 31 markets

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

Vol total$5K
Vol 24h$3K
Liquidity$25K
Resolves43d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
No release by September 30
$2K vol
75.5%
chance
Yes 76¢ · No 25¢
🍂
September 30
$177 vol
3.1%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🎯
September 29
$168 vol
3.5%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 97¢
🎯
September 2
$108 vol
2.6%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🎯
September 3
$98 vol
4.0%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🎯
September 4
$98 vol
3.5%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 97¢
🎯
September 5
$98 vol
4.5%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 96¢
🎯
September 7
$98 vol
5.0%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🎯
September 11
$98 vol
4.0%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🎯
September 12
$98 vol
3.6%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🎯
September 15
$98 vol
4.0%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🎯
September 16
$98 vol
3.6%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🎯
September 17
$98 vol
2.6%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🎯
September 19
$98 vol
3.1%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🎯
September 20
$98 vol
4.5%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 96¢
🎯
September 22
$98 vol
4.0%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🎯
September 23
$98 vol
4.0%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🎯
September 24
$98 vol
4.0%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🎯
September 25
$98 vol
4.0%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🎯
September 27
$98 vol
3.5%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🎯
September 8
$90 vol
2.5%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 98¢
🎯
September 28
$89 vol
2.7%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🎯
September 6
$83 vol
2.8%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🎯
September 14
$58 vol
2.7%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🎯
On or prior to September 1
$190 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 100¢
🎯
September 9
$165 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🎯
September 10
$165 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🎯
September 13
$165 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🎯
September 21
$165 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🎯
September 26
$163 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🎯
September 18
$101 vol
1.4%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.