All events
Tech & AI · 14 markets

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

Vol total$276K
Vol 24h$5K
Liquidity$41K
Resolves13d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
No release by August 31
$57K vol·+32%·7d
89.3%
chance
Yes 89¢ · No 11¢
🎯
August 31
$8K vol·-2%·7d
3.7%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🎯
August 27
$9K vol·-3%·7d
0.9%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🎯
August 25
$6K vol·-2%·7d
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🎯
August 29
$5K vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
August 26
$5K vol·-3%·7d
1.4%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🎯
August 24
$4K vol·-4%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
August 28
$4K vol·+0%·7d
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 100¢
🎯
August 19
$3K vol·-1%·7d
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
August 20
$3K vol·-1%·7d
0.8%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🎯
August 22
$3K vol·-0%·7d
0.2%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
August 30
$2K vol·-0%·7d
0.4%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
August 21
$2K vol·+0%·7d
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 100¢
🎯
August 23
$2K vol·+0%·7d
0.4%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.