All events
Tech & AI · 16 markets

Next Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released on...?

Vol total$2K
Vol 24h$2K
Liquidity$4K
Resolves15d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
September 5
$457 vol
4.5%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 96¢
🎯
September 6
$457 vol
4.5%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🎯
On or prior to September 1
$145 vol
25.5%
chance
Yes 26¢ · No 75¢
🎯
September 13
$117 vol
3.1%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🎯
September 3
$87 vol
26.0%
chance
Yes 26¢ · No 74¢
🎯
No release by September 15
$61 vol
7.5%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 93¢
🎯
September 4
$51 vol
12.0%
chance
Yes 12¢ · No 88¢
🎯
September 8
$51 vol
7.5%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 93¢
🎯
September 9
$51 vol
23.5%
chance
Yes 24¢ · No 77¢
🎯
September 11
$50 vol
5.0%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🎯
September 12
$47 vol
5.0%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🎯
September 15
$47 vol
33.5%
chance
Yes 34¢ · No 67¢
🎯
September 2
$39 vol
25.5%
chance
Yes 26¢ · No 75¢
🎯
September 7
$39 vol
24.0%
chance
Yes 24¢ · No 76¢
🎯
September 10
$39 vol
8.0%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 92¢
🎯
September 14
$39 vol
7.0%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 93¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini," be labeled "Flash" rather than "Flash-Lite," be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled "Flash-Lite" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Vectorial Data aggregates publicly available market data. We are not affiliated with any exchange or venue and do not custody funds. All probabilities, prices, funding rates, and resolutions shown are sourced from public on-chain APIs and may be delayed or revised. Markets and tokens shown are speculative — past performance does not predict future results, calibration metrics describe historical accuracy and do not guarantee future calibration. Nothing on this site is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.