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Economy · binary

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

Vol total$33K
Vol 24h$526
Liquidity$541
Resolves159d

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Prediction

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

Your pick: Yes — each share pays $1 if Yes wins.

Bets from $1 · deposits start at $3.

SideYes
Price$0.0350
Shares (est)142.86
Spend$5.00
Capital back$5.00
Profit if Yes wins+$137.86
If Yes wins pays$142.86
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Price history-0.55% · 1W
2%3%4%5%6%Aug 16Aug 18Aug 19Aug 21Aug 22Aug 23

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP growth rate for the full year 2026, as derived from the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, with a release by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) expected in January 2027, reports a growth rate below 0. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The GDP release will be available at: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product. Only the first available GDP report labeled as the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, which provides the initial full-year 2026 GDP growth rate, will be used for resolution. Any subsequent revisions or updates to the data will not be considered.