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Politics · binary

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to BSW or Grüne?

Vol total$2K
Vol 24h$2K
Liquidity$2K
Resolves31d

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Prediction

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to BSW or Grüne?

Your pick: BSW — each share pays $1 if BSW wins.

Bets from $1 · deposits start at $3.

SideBSW
Price$0.3550
Shares (est)14.08
Spend$5.00
Capital back$5.00
Profit if BSW wins+$9.08
If BSW wins pays$14.08
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Price history-2.00% · 1W
32%34%36%38%40%Aug 20Aug 20Aug 20Aug 20Aug 20Aug 21

Resolution rules

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to “BSW” if BSW wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than Grüne in the specified election. This market will resolve to “Grüne” if Grüne wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than BSW in the specified election. This market will resolve 50-50 if both BSW and Grüne receive exactly the same number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election. This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by each specified party. Valid second votes will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern) attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).