All events
Politics · 8 markets

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

Vol total$10K
Vol 24h$495
Liquidity$139K
Resolves24d

Outcomes · most likely first

🇩🇪
AfD
$3K vol·-4%·7d
10.4%
chance
Yes 10¢ · No 90¢
🇩🇪
SPD
$2K vol·+3%·7d
88.5%
chance
Yes 89¢ · No 12¢
🇩🇪
FDP
$898 vol·+0%·7d
0.4%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🟢
Grüne
$844 vol·+0%·7d
0.2%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇩🇪
BSW
$824 vol·+0%·7d
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🔴
Linke
$815 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇩🇪
CDU
$806 vol·+0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🟡
FW
$653 vol·+0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).