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Culture · binary

Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?

Vol total$19K
Vol 24h$2K
Liquidity$8K
Resolves132d

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Prediction

Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?

Your pick: Yes — each share pays $1 if Yes wins.

Bets from $1 · deposits start at $3.

SideYes
Price$0.0305
Shares (est)163.93
Spend$5.00
Capital back$5.00
Profit if Yes wins+$158.93
If Yes wins pays$163.93
Connecting your wallet… (usually under 2s)

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Price history-1.45% · 1W
1%2%4%5%7%Aug 15Aug 16Aug 17Aug 19Aug 20Aug 21

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Luigi Mangione is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Mangione is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Mangione is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". If Mangione participates in a successful jailbreak or is otherwise liberated from state custody for any length of time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Mangione to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.