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Climate · 11 markets

Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 31?

Vol total$2K
Vol 24h$1K
Liquidity$37K
Resolves1d

Outcomes · most likely first

🌡️
6°C
$630 vol
21.5%
chance
Yes 22¢ · No 79¢
🌡️
8°C
$409 vol
42.0%
chance
Yes 42¢ · No 58¢
🥶
5°C or below
$114 vol
9.0%
chance
Yes 9¢ · No 91¢
🌡️
7°C
$100 vol
59.0%
chance
Yes 59¢ · No 41¢
🌡️
12°C
$330 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
9°C
$278 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
11°C
$167 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
10°C
$144 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
☀️
15°C or higher
$83 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
14°C
$30 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
13°C
$20 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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