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Climate · 11 markets

Lowest temperature in Warsaw on August 30?

Vol total$322
Vol 24h$312
Liquidity$2K
Resolves2d

Outcomes · most likely first

🌤️
18°C
$135 vol
11.5%
chance
Yes 12¢ · No 89¢
❄️
9°C or below
$130 vol
3.0%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
☀️
19°C or higher
$57 vol
14.5%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 86¢
🌡️
10°C
$0 vol
22.0%
chance
Yes 22¢ · No 78¢
🌡️
11°C
$0 vol
45.0%
chance
Yes 45¢ · No 55¢
🌡️
12°C
$0 vol
29.5%
chance
Yes 30¢ · No 71¢
🌡️
13°C
$0 vol
31.5%
chance
Yes 32¢ · No 69¢
🌡️
14°C
$0 vol
42.0%
chance
Yes 42¢ · No 58¢
🌤️
15°C
$0 vol
44.0%
chance
Yes 44¢ · No 56¢
🌤️
16°C
$0 vol
22.5%
chance
Yes 23¢ · No 78¢
🌤️
17°C
$0 vol
10.0%
chance
Yes 10¢ · No 90¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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