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Climate · 11 markets

Lowest temperature in Toronto on August 26?

Vol total$580
Vol 24h$605
Liquidity$3K
Resolves1d

Outcomes · most likely first

❄️
9°C or below
$135 vol
28.5%
chance
Yes 28¢ · No 72¢
🌡️
13°C
$0 vol
26.5%
chance
Yes 27¢ · No 74¢
🌡️
14°C
$0 vol
26.0%
chance
Yes 26¢ · No 74¢
🌤️
15°C
$0 vol
27.5%
chance
Yes 28¢ · No 73¢
🌤️
16°C
$0 vol
36.5%
chance
Yes 37¢ · No 64¢
🌤️
17°C
$0 vol
29.0%
chance
Yes 29¢ · No 71¢
🌤️
18°C
$0 vol
25.5%
chance
Yes 26¢ · No 75¢
☀️
19°C or higher
$150 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🌡️
11°C
$145 vol
0.4%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
10°C
$135 vol
1.5%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 99¢
🌡️
12°C
$15 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.