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Climate · 11 markets

Lowest temperature in Toronto on August 25?

Vol total$622
Vol 24h$632
Liquidity$2K
Resolves1d

Outcomes · most likely first

❄️
11°C or below
$150 vol
27.0%
chance
Yes 27¢ · No 73¢
🌡️
20°C
$150 vol
7.0%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 93¢
☀️
21°C or higher
$135 vol
2.5%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 98¢
🌡️
19°C
$90 vol
2.5%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 98¢
🌡️
13°C
$71 vol
8.5%
chance
Yes 9¢ · No 92¢
🌡️
12°C
$20 vol
7.0%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 93¢
🌡️
14°C
$6 vol
12.0%
chance
Yes 12¢ · No 88¢
🌤️
15°C
$0 vol
27.0%
chance
Yes 27¢ · No 73¢
🌤️
16°C
$0 vol
35.5%
chance
Yes 36¢ · No 65¢
🌤️
17°C
$0 vol
31.0%
chance
Yes 31¢ · No 69¢
🌤️
18°C
$0 vol
10.5%
chance
Yes 11¢ · No 90¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.