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Climate · 11 markets

Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 28?

Vol total$776
Vol 24h$760
Liquidity$11K
Resolves2d

Outcomes · most likely first

🌡️
25°C
$335 vol
34.0%
chance
Yes 34¢ · No 66¢
❄️
22°C or below
$86 vol
4.0%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🌡️
26°C
$73 vol
37.0%
chance
Yes 37¢ · No 63¢
🌡️
23°C
$64 vol
4.5%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 96¢
🌡️
24°C
$48 vol
14.5%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 86¢
🌡️
27°C
$2 vol
15.0%
chance
Yes 15¢ · No 85¢
🔥
32°C or higher
$57 vol
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
30°C
$37 vol
0.8%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🌡️
31°C
$37 vol
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
29°C
$32 vol
0.6%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🌡️
28°C
$6 vol
1.5%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.