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Climate · 11 markets

Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 20?

Vol total$6K
Vol 24h$5K
Liquidity$24K
Resolves1d

Outcomes · most likely first

🌡️
27°C
$1K vol
2.5%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🌡️
25°C
$862 vol
53.0%
chance
Yes 53¢ · No 47¢
🌡️
26°C
$522 vol
31.5%
chance
Yes 32¢ · No 69¢
🌡️
24°C
$458 vol
11.5%
chance
Yes 12¢ · No 89¢
🌡️
23°C
$267 vol
2.5%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 98¢
🌡️
30°C or higher
$886 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
20°C or below
$410 vol
0.2%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
28°C
$378 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
21°C
$269 vol
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
29°C
$263 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
22°C
$262 vol
0.4%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.