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Climate · 11 markets

Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 29?

Vol total$6K
Vol 24h$5K
Liquidity$18K
Resolves1d

Outcomes · most likely first

🌡️
24°C
$105 vol
9.0%
chance
Yes 9¢ · No 91¢
🌡️
23°C
$65 vol
8.5%
chance
Yes 9¢ · No 92¢
🌡️
29°C
$15 vol
39.0%
chance
Yes 39¢ · No 61¢
🌡️
25°C
$0 vol
40.5%
chance
Yes 41¢ · No 60¢
🌡️
26°C
$0 vol
51.5%
chance
Yes 52¢ · No 49¢
🌡️
27°C
$0 vol
40.5%
chance
Yes 41¢ · No 60¢
🌡️
28°C
$0 vol
39.5%
chance
Yes 40¢ · No 61¢
❄️
22°C or below
$5K vol
0.7%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🔥
32°C or higher
$138 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
30°C
$112 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
31°C
$68 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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