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Climate · 11 markets

Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 27?

Vol total$500
Vol 24h$500
Liquidity$3K
Resolves2d

Outcomes · most likely first

🌤️
30°C
$135 vol
4.5%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 96¢
❄️
22°C or below
$135 vol
27.0%
chance
Yes 27¢ · No 73¢
🌡️
24°C
$75 vol
17.0%
chance
Yes 17¢ · No 83¢
☀️
31°C
$5 vol
8.5%
chance
Yes 9¢ · No 92¢
🌡️
25°C
$0 vol
24.0%
chance
Yes 24¢ · No 76¢
🌡️
26°C
$0 vol
28.0%
chance
Yes 28¢ · No 72¢
🌡️
27°C
$0 vol
32.0%
chance
Yes 32¢ · No 68¢
🌡️
28°C
$0 vol
32.5%
chance
Yes 33¢ · No 68¢
🌡️
29°C
$0 vol
22.5%
chance
Yes 23¢ · No 78¢
🌡️
23°C
$145 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🔥
32°C or higher
$5 vol
1.0%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.