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Climate · 11 markets

Lowest temperature in San Francisco on August 25?

Vol total$401
Vol 24h$421
Liquidity$4K
Resolves1d

Outcomes · most likely first

🌡️
52-53°F
$79 vol
7.1%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 93¢
🌡️
58-59°F
$17 vol
45.5%
chance
Yes 46¢ · No 55¢
❄️
49°F or below
$5 vol
4.5%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 96¢
🌡️
54-55°F
$0 vol
18.0%
chance
Yes 18¢ · No 82¢
🌡️
56-57°F
$0 vol
34.5%
chance
Yes 35¢ · No 66¢
🌤️
60-61°F
$0 vol
21.5%
chance
Yes 22¢ · No 79¢
🌤️
62-63°F
$0 vol
9.0%
chance
Yes 9¢ · No 91¢
☀️
68°F or higher
$135 vol
2.0%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🌤️
64-65°F
$90 vol
1.6%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🌡️
50-51°F
$70 vol
1.0%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🌤️
66-67°F
$5 vol
1.0%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.