All events
Climate · 11 markets

Lowest temperature in San Francisco on August 24?

Vol total$452
Vol 24h$472
Liquidity$2K
Resolves1d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
62-63°F
$65 vol
8.5%
chance
Yes 9¢ · No 92¢
🎯
49°F or below
$55 vol
24.0%
chance
Yes 24¢ · No 76¢
🎯
50-51°F
$55 vol
15.5%
chance
Yes 16¢ · No 85¢
🎯
52-53°F
$6 vol
19.0%
chance
Yes 19¢ · No 81¢
🎯
54-55°F
$6 vol
14.5%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 86¢
🎯
58-59°F
$5 vol
36.0%
chance
Yes 36¢ · No 64¢
🎯
56-57°F
$0 vol
16.0%
chance
Yes 16¢ · No 84¢
🎯
60-61°F
$0 vol
24.0%
chance
Yes 24¢ · No 76¢
🎯
68°F or higher
$185 vol
0.4%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
64-65°F
$70 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🎯
66-67°F
$5 vol
0.4%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.