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Climate · 11 markets

Lowest temperature in San Francisco on August 23?

Vol total$1K
Vol 24h$1K
Liquidity$13K
Resolves0d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
58-59°F
$179 vol
87.5%
chance
Yes 88¢ · No 13¢
🎯
50-51°F
$155 vol
14.6%
chance
Yes 15¢ · No 85¢
🎯
52-53°F
$5 vol
25.5%
chance
Yes 26¢ · No 75¢
🎯
54-55°F
$5 vol
25.5%
chance
Yes 26¢ · No 75¢
🎯
66-67°F
$195 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
68°F or higher
$174 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
60-61°F
$163 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
64-65°F
$145 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
49°F or below
$113 vol
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
62-63°F
$105 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
56-57°F
$10 vol
1.0%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.