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Climate · 11 markets

Lowest temperature in Paris on August 25?

Vol total$388
Vol 24h$388
Liquidity$11K
Resolves2d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
16°C
$142 vol
38.5%
chance
Yes 39¢ · No 62¢
🎯
13°C
$32 vol
4.5%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 96¢
🎯
15°C
$29 vol
22.5%
chance
Yes 23¢ · No 78¢
🎯
18°C
$22 vol
6.0%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🌡️
19°C
$12 vol
6.0%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🎯
17°C
$11 vol
29.0%
chance
Yes 29¢ · No 71¢
🎯
14°C
$7 vol
5.5%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 95¢
🌡️
21°C
$79 vol
1.5%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 99¢
🌡️
20°C
$42 vol
1.5%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 99¢
🎯
22°C or higher
$7 vol
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
12°C or below
$5 vol
1.0%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.